Real Solar PV: data and experiences from a real solar photovoltaic installation


Data

The installation first generated on 2 December 2011 and readings from the generation meter are used to update the various charts and tables each month.

SAP calculation

Under the MCS accreditation scheme (1), installers are required to use the Government's SAP (Standard Assessment Procedure) calculation to ensure parity across quotations. Whilst this takes account of roof orientation, slope and any shading, it doesn't allow for different latitudes, leading to the north of the country being rated on a par with the south. The SAP calculation for this installation shows an annual predicted output of 2914kWh.

A more accurate figure can be obtained by using the calculator made available by the Photovoltaic Geographical Information System (PVGIS) (2). This showed a predicted annual output of 3140kWh at the time of installation but revised data now indicates 3210kWh. A third calculation, using the PVSOL calculator, indicates an output of 3050kWh.

SAP calculation *
SAP calculation

PVGIS calculation *
PVGIS calculation

* The above tables assume initial FiT and export rates of 43.3p and 3.1p increasing at 2.5% per annum, imported energy prices increasing at 4% per annum on a base 12p per kWh.


The charts and calculations below are based on the SAP calculation.

Predicted output v 2020-21 actual


Predicted output v actual
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2020-21 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Electricity consumption from the grid pre PV installation v post PV installation: running average (kWh)

Interpretation of data presented in this chart is more difficult than that for others as consumption can vary quite widely year-on-year as a consequence of changes in such variables as occupancy patterns and the presence of electrical appliances. Never-the-less, the data presented is real data from a real installation.

Electricity consumption from the grid pre PV installation v post PV installation running average (kWh)
Electricity consumption from the grid pre PV installation running average (kWh) Electricity consumption from the grid pre PV installation (kWh)
Electricity consumption from the grid post PV installation running average (kWh) Electricity consumption from the grid post PV installation, running average (kWh)

Cumulative return on investment 2020-21 (£)

The graph displays cumulative income calculated on the Feed in Tariff and an additional amount for the 50% of generated energy which is deemed to be exported. At the time the system was commissioned, the Feed in Tariff was 43.3p per kWh and the Export Tariff was 3.1p per kWh. Both are increased each April by an amount which reflects the increase in the Retail Price Index over the previous 12 months. Savings made from reductions in imported energy are not included.

Graph of cumulative return on investment (£)

Daily generation, September 2021


Daily generation (kWh), September 2021
Actual daily generation (kWh), September 2021 Actual daily generation (kWh), September 2021
Predicted monthly average (kWh), Year 10 Predicted monthly average (kWh), September 2021
Current rolling average (kWh), September 2021 Current rolling average (kWh), September 2021
Predicted rolling average (kWh), September 2021 Predicted rolling average (kWh), September 2021
Snow on panels Snow on panels

Variation from predicted generation (%)


Variation from predicted generation: current month (%)
Variation to date Variation to date
Variation this month Variation this month

Daily generation (kWh) Year 10, 2020-21


Daily generation, Year 10
Actual daily generation (kWh), Year 10 Actual daily generation (kWh), Year 10
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 10 Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 10

Daily peak (kW) Year 10, 2020-21


Daily peak, Year 10
Actual daily peak (kW), Year 10 Actual daily peak (kW), Year 10
Average daily peak (kW), Year 10 Average daily peak (kW), Year 10


Generation pattern

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, Year 10, 2020-21


Daily generation start, peak and stop times Year 10, 2020-21
Generation start time, Year 10 Daily generation start time, Year 10 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 10 Daily generation peak time, Year 10 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 10 Daily generation stop time, Year 10 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 10 Daily generation period, Year 10 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]

Earliest start: 04:00 on several dates
Latest start: 16:20 on several dates

Earliest finish: 12:20 on several dates
Latest finish: 22:00 on several dates

Longest period of generation: 16 hours 50 minutes on several dates
Shortest period of generation: 0 hours 10 minutes on 21 January 2015

Earliest maximum: 08:30
Latest maximum: 19:20
Most frequent maximum: 13:10

Days above predicted average:56.9%
Days below predicted average:43.1%

Total generation, income, savings and return on capital to date


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
31755
34732
+2,977
+9.4%

SAP
28827
34732
+5,905
+20.5%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£14242
£18130
+£3888
+27.3%

SAP
£12929
£18130
+£5201
+40.2%


Import savings (completed months)

£3338
44%


Total income to date
£21468


Return on capital

+19.9% (excluding import savings)

+23.6% (including import savings)


Daily maximum, minimum*, intra-day peak** and average generation (kWh), with monthly totals (kWh) and variation (%)

* Several minima of zero when the panels were entirely covered in snow have been ignored
** Output is recorded by the system every 10 minutes and so transient highs are missed. Readings in excess of 4kW have been regularly observed. All times are GMT.

 
Maximum
Minimum
Intra-day peak
Average
Total        
Variation  

Since commissioning

 
29.448 on 12 Jun 2021
0.000 on 19 Jan 2013 Snow on panels
3.978 at 14:50 on 16 May 2012
9.672
34732
+20.5%


2021

September
17.843 on 20 September
2.321 on 14 September
3.204 at 14:20 on 29 September
10.231
306.916
+20.8%

August
22.849 on 3 August
4.924 on 21 August
3.462 at 15:10 on 17 August
12.635
391.680
+15.9%

July
26.182 on 1 July
5.115 on 30 July
3.762 at 15:40 on 28 July
16.528
512.373
+26.7%

June
29.448 on 12 June
6.346 on 21 June
3.780 at 14:00 on 19 June
18.055
541.659
+34.7%

May
27.931 on 30 May
5.446 on 3 May
3.810 at 13:40 on 7 May
14.938
463.087
+10.8%

April
25.115 on 22 April
5.494 on 1 April
3.594 at 14:10 on 25 April
17.259
517.763
+53.7%

March
18.763 on 30 March
1.623 on 10 March
3.282 at 13:20 on 26 March
8.602
289.567
+17.5%

February
14.123 on 28 February
0.020 on 2 February
2.730 at 13:10 on 25 February
5.097
142.715
+19.2%

January
7.577 on 25 January
0.000 on 14 January Snow on panels
1.746 at 13:40 on 23 January
2.184
69.686
-5.5%


2020

December
4.580 on 1 December
0.222 on 13 December
1.554 at 14:10 on 25 December
1.969
61.052
-1.4%

November
8.160 on 4 November
0.496 on 29 November
2.220 at 14:00 on 4 November
3.046
91.384
+2.9%

October
10.437 on 1 October
0.724 on 3 October
2.778 at 12:40 on 5 October
5.113
158.496
-2.4%

September
18.034 on 14 September
3.047 on 16 September
3.234 at 14:40 on 6 September
11.037
331.101
+30.3%

August
22.986 on 24 August
2.408 on 16 August
3.300 at 14:40 on 22 August
12.303
381.405
+12.8%

July
24.056 on 19 July
6.292 on 2 July
3.768 at 13:30 on 22 July
14.050
435.545
+7.7%

June
27.365 on 25 June
3.534 on 12 June
3.678 at 13:10 on 13 June
14.657
439.716
+9.3%

May
28.070 on 25 May
9.259 on 18 May
3.762 at 14:30 on 19 May
19.977
619.282
+48.2%

April
25.627 on 20 April
5.018 on 29 April
3.774 at 14:00 on 2 April
17.316
519.477
+54.2%

March
20.262 on 26 March
3.553 on 10 March
3.468 at 12:20 on 29 March
11.133
337.225
+36.8%

February
13.569 on 27 February
0.845 on 15 February
2.628 at 14:20 on 23 February
5.094
142.623
+15.0%

January
5.907 on 19 January
0.476 on 11 January
2.058 at 13:10 on 18 January
2.643
81.930
+11.1%


2019

December
4.975 on 9 December
0.281 on 12 December
1.446 at 13:50 on 8 December
2.366
42.583
+7.1%

November
6.390 on 18 November
0.346 on 25 November
1.818 at 13:10 on 13 November
2.409
72.281
-18.6%

October
17.459 on 2 October
1.954 on 13 October
2.682 at 14:10 on 2 October
6.195
192.035
+18.3%

September
19.253 on 13 September
2.128 on 24 September
3.294 at 13:30 on 1 September
11.375
341.252
+34.3%

August
22.201 on 13 August
2.796 on 16 August
3.552 at 13:20 on 8 August
14.665
454.630
+34.5%

July
25.080 on 23 July
1.740 on 27 July
3.552 at 13:20 on 1 July
15.433
478.416
+18.3%

June
28.163 on 27 June
4.464 on 25 June
3.606 at 15:00 on 21 June
14.642
439.271
+9.2%

May
27.260 on 24 May
5.247 on 8 May
3.744 at 11:40 on 20 May
15.809
490.084
+17.3%

April
23.256 on 21 April
4.915 on 8 April
3.354 at 14:30 on 2 April
14.883
446.501
+32.5%

March
20.557 on 29 March
2.926 on 6 March
3.282 at 12:20 on 26 March
9.391
312.806
+26.9%

February
13.373 on 27 February
1.012 on 1 February
2.484 at 12:40 on 11 February
6.963
194.969
+62.9%

January
8.724 on 28 January
0.296 on 7 January
2.040 at 13:50 on 30 January
2.811
87.127
+18.2%


2018

December
4.718 on 9 December
0.134 on 18 December
1.800 at 13:00 on 7 December
1.883
58.367
-5.7%

November
9.221 on 2 November
0.254 on 22 November
2.766 at 11:30 on 3 November
2.916
87.490
-1.5%

October
13.185 on 18 October
0.896 on 12 October
3.384 at 14:10 on 1 October
6.884
213.410
+31.4%

September
17.593 on 12 September
4.500 on 8 September
3.150 at 13:10 on 23 September
10.967
329.014
+29.5%

August
22.025 on 5 August
3.938 on 26 August
3.444 at 13:40 on 24 August
13.094
405.907
+20.1%

July
27.403 on 2 July
3.659 on 29 July
3.426 at 13:00 on 10 July
18.059
559.821
+38.4%

June
28.774 on 22 June
7.483 on 4 June
3.744 at 14:40 on 18 June
19.260
577.794
+43.6%

May
27.334 on 13 May
3.213 on 30 May
3.666 at 12:50 on 10 May
19.455
603.095
+44.3%

April
22.934 on 20 April
1.216 on 2 April
3.588 at 14:00 on 25 April
10.743
322.300
-4.3%

March
17.421 on 25 March
0.008 on 1 March Snow on panels
3.228 at 12:50 on 19 March
6.484
202.486
-17.9%

February
12.947 on 25 February
0.060 on 28 February Snow on panels
2.658 at 11:50 on 25 February
5.295
148.255
+23.8%

January
6.367 on 31 January
0.134 on 9 January
1.788 at 12:40 on 29 January
2.493
77.274
+4.8%


2017

December
5.218 on 1 December
0.011 on 29 December Snow on panels
1.782 at 14:20 on 27 December
2.205
68.365
+10.4%
November
8.990 on 5 November
0.482 on 22 November
2.208 at 13:10 on 5 November
3.961
118.833
+33.8%

October
14.440 on 5 October
0.843 on 26 October
2.586 at 12:30 on 2 October
5.216
161.691
-0.4%

September
15.985 on 13 September
3.525 on 25 September
3.120 at 12:40 on 16 September
9.241
277.244
+9.1%

August
22.659 on 5 August
6.107 on 8 August
3.654 at 13:50 on 19 August
14.376
445.670
+31.9%

July
28.034 on 2 July
4.825 on 11 July
3.720 at 13:40 on 1 July
16.307
505.514
+25.0%

June
27.280 on 18 June
2.775 on 23 June
3.618 at 13:40 on 7 June
13.860
415.785
+3.4%

May
26.781 on 26 May
2.113 on 29 May
3.726 at 14:20 on 27 May
16.050
497.549
+19.1%

April
24.109 on 23 April
5.876 on 14 April
3.786 at 13:50 on 15 April
13.781
413.427
+22.7%

March
19.670 on 24 March
1.923 on 22 March
3.270 at 13:30 on 31 March
9.942
303.129
+23.0%

February
9.690 on 24 February
0.035 on 13 February
2.526 at 12:20 on 24 February
3.709
103.842
-13.3%

January
8.200 on 25 January
0.332 on 6 January
1.704 at 13:30 on 25 January
2.365
73.330
-0.5%


2016

December
4.950 on 29 December
0.260 on 23 December
1.440 at 13:40 on 4 December
2.094
64.902
+4.8%

November
7.233 on 2 November
0.175 on 9 November
1.956 at 12:00 on 4 November
3.392
101.773
+14.6%

October
14.909 on 3 October
1.835 on 30 October
3.024 at 12:40 on 2 October
6.304
195.429
+20.4%

September
17.739 on 11 September
3.330 on 3 September
3.084 at 12:30 on 11 September
10.628
318.829
+25.5%

August
21.795 on 16 August
3.071 on 25 August
3.570 at 15:10 on 4 August
14.050
435.548
+28.9%

July
24.821 on 3 July
6.390 on 9 July
3.768 at 13:20 on 30 July
16.205
502.352
+24.2%

June
26.274 on 6 June
5.395 on 1 June
3.708 at 13:40 on 25 June
14.505
435.137
+8.2%

May
26.704 on 16 May
5.281 on 25 May
3.648 at 13:40 on 3 May
16.404
508.520
+21.7%

April
24.227 on 20 April
2.491 on 12 April
3.756 at 12:50 on 30 April
13.191
395.732
+17.5%

March
18.729 on 31 March
0.042 on 4 March
3.414 at 13:00 on 31 March
7.626
255.669
+3.7%

February
12.344 on 23 February
0.823 on 6 February
2.688 at 13:50 on 23 February
5.989
167.043
+40.1%

January
6.066 on 15 January
0.050 on 17 January
1.674 at 13:40 on 29 January
1.987
61.582
-16.5%


2015

December
4.811 on 29 December
0.087 on 12 December
1.404 at 12:10 on 29 December
1.573
48.766
-21.2%

November
7.895 on 1 November
0.286 on 30 November
1.980 at 12:50 on 16 November
2.453
73.596
-17.1%

October
15.595 on 1 October
0.800 on 28 October
2.688 at 13:30 on 6 October
6.111
189.433
+16.7%

September
21.110 on 6 September
4.053 on 8 September
3.600 at 13:20 on 4 September
11.437
343.108
+35.0%

August
20.879 on 27 August
2.511 on 14 August
3.546 at 13:50 on 15 August
13.356
414.037
+22.5%

July
27.213 on 15 July
8.135 on 27 July
3.636 at 13:00 on 19 July
16.036
497.103
+22.9%

June
28.448 on 10 June
5.696 on 14 June
3.846 at 14:10 on 21 June
18.433
552.994
+37.5%

May
24.711 on 26 May
7.867 on 2 May
3.894 at 14:00 on 19 May
15.936
494.005
+18.2%

April
24.105 on 21 April
3.745 on 3 April
3.798 at 13:00 on 11 April
16.671
500.129
+48.5%

March
17.068 on 31 March
2.188 on 9 March
3.180 at 13:40 on 31 March
9.274
297.817
+20.8%

February
11.670 on 23 February
0.665 on 13 February
2.814 at 14:10 on 27 February
5.494
153.843
+28.5%

January
7.522 on 30 January
0.000 on 21 January Snow on panels
1.920 at 12:20 on 31 January
2.574
79.800
+8.2%


2014

December
5.532 on 3 December
0.313 on 21 December
1.500 at 12:40 on 13 December
2.594
80.404
+29.9%

November
10.093 on 3 November
0.332 on 27 November
2.058 at 13:10 on 4 November
2.785
83.548
-5.9%

October
13.153 on 2 October
0.798 on 27 October
2.730 at 13:40 on 4 October
5.682
176.143
+8.5%

September
19.783 on 7 September
2.520 on 19 September
3.066 at 11:40 on 2 September
9.658
289.753
+14.0%

August
24.811 on 4 August
5.424 on 25 August
3.588 at 13:40 on 14 August
14.455
448.092
+32.6%

July
26.938 on 9 July
7.033 on 19 July
3.738 at 12:20 on 13 July
18.236
565.325
+39.8%

June
25.940 on 12 June
5.270 on 27 June
3.576 at 12:30 on 12 June
15.257
457.723
+13.8%

May
26.509 on 17 May
2.018 on 1 May
3.888 at 13:50 on 13 May
14.129
438.000
+4.8%

April
24.056 on 18 April
2.311 on 3 April
3.480 at 12:40 on 14 April
11.688
350.647
+4.1%

March
19.420 on 24 March
2.491 on 25 March
3.156 at 12:50 on 24 March
9.761
302.581
+22.7%

February
11.095 on 27 February
0.675 on 5 February
2.958 at 13:30 on 25 February
5.445
152.447
+27.3%

January
6.225 on 20 January
0.155 on 1 January
2.154 at 13:10 on 23 January
2.555
79.211
+7.4%


2013

December
4.509 on 29 December
0.175 on 23 December
1.554 at 13:10 on 4 December
2.076
64.359
+4.0%

November
10.319 on 4 November
1.296 on 11 November
2.046 at 14:30 on 5 November
4.387
131.611
+48.2%

October
12.662 on 6 October
0.280 on 12 October
3.558 at 14:50 on 10 October
5.455
169.109
+4.1%

September
16.857 on 22 September
2.759 on 6 September
3.450 at 14:00 on 9 September
9.482
284.471
+12.0%

August
22.105 on 18 August
4.711 on 24 August
3.564 at 13:40 on 31 August
14.509
449.785
+33.1%

July
26.068 on 5 July
7.215 on 2 July
3.690 at 14:10 on 3 July
18.363
569.240
+40.8%

June
27.694 on 7 June
8.170 on 11 June
3.600 at 14:10 on 2 June
17.790
533.702
+32.7%

May
27.890 on 25 May
3.661 on 18 May
3.810 at 11:50 on 16 May
14.914
462.341
+10.6%

April
23.378 on 20 April
5.114 on 11 April
3.882 at 12:30 on 26 April
13.653
409.588
+21.6%

March
16.549 on 29 March
0.428 on 8 March
3.624 at 13:40 on 30 March
7.067
219.091
-11.1%

February
13.841 on 28 February
0.651 on 13 February
2.370 at 11:50 on 27 February
5.183
145.130
+15.0%

January
6.749 on 27 January
0.009 on 14 January Snow on panels
1.836 at 12:50 on 27 January
1.386
42.979
-41.7%


2012

December
6.166 on 2 December
0.042 on 14 December
1.632 at 12:30 on 5 December
2.231
69.149
+11.7%

November
7.846 on 5 November
0.548 on 20 November
2.148 at 12:10 on 2 November
3.617
108.502
+22.2%

October
13.626 on 7 October
0.645 on 24 October
2.922 at 12:20 on 5 October
6.446
199.813
+23.1%

September
18.738 on 8 September
1.329 on 24 September
3.240 at 13:20 on 2 September
11.124
333.716
+31.3%

August
22.868 on 8 August
4.611 on 27 August
3.666 at 13:00 on 3 August
12.319
381.902
+13.0%

July
26.849 on 11 July
1.944 on 6 July
3.750 at 13:10 on 12 July
13.846
429.231
+6.1%

June
23.15 on 26 June
4.298 on 21 June
3.852 at 15:40 on 25 June
12.512
375.352
-6.7%

May
27.875 on 18 May
3.736 on 10 May
3.978 at 14:50 on 16 May
17.147
531.545
+27.2%

April
22.855 on 10 April
1.867 on 1 April
3.738 at 15:00 on 21 April
11.142
334.262
-0.8%

March
18.361 on 26 March
1.731 on 4 March
2.814 at 16:00 on 30 March
10.772
333.941
+35.5%

February
12.25 on 19 February
0.087 on 5 February Snow on panels
2.172 at 12:30 on 15 February
4.090
118.614
-4.3%

January
6.968 on 28 January
0.403 on 1 January
1.782 at 13:50 on 26 January
2.877
89.190
+21.0%


2011

December
5.037 on 18 December
0.281 on 23 December
1.572 at 12:20 on 24 December
1.656
57.375
-17.1%


Historic monthly generation totals


Historic monthly generation totals


Historic daily generation totals



















































































Year 9 (2019-20) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3206.471
3601.028
+394.557
+12.3%

SAP
2910.796
3601.028
+690.232
+23.7%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1438.10
£2083.58
+£645.48
+44.9%

SAP
£1305.49
£2083.58
+£778.09
+59.6%


Total import savings (Year 9)

£232
29.43%


Return on capital at end of Year 9

+21.8% (excluding import savings)

+25.5% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2019-20 actual output


Predicted output v 2019-20 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2019-20 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2019-20 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2019-20 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2019-20 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2019-20


Daily generation 2019-20
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 9 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2019-20


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2019-20
Generation start time, Year 9 Daily generation start time, Year 9 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 9 Daily generation peak time, Year 9 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 9 Daily generation stop time, Year 9 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 9 Daily generation period, Year 9 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 8 (2018-19) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3201.760
3311.710
+109.950
+3.4%

SAP
2906.520
3311.710
+405.190
+13.9%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1435.99
£1991.18
+£555.20
+38.7%

SAP
£1303.57
£1991.18
+£687.60
+52.7%


Total import savings (Year 8)

£277
35.19%


Return on capital at end of Year 8

+18.7% (excluding import savings)

+22.8% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2018-19 actual output


Predicted output v 2018-19 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2018-19 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2018-19 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2018-19 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2018-19 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2018-19


Daily generation 2018-19
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 8 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2018-19


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2018-19
Generation start time, Year 8 Daily generation start time, Year 8 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 8 Daily generation peak time, Year 8 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 8 Daily generation stop time, Year 8 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 8 Daily generation period, Year 8 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 7 (2017-18) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3201.760
3595.211
+393.451
+12.29%

SAP
2906.520
3595.211
+688.691
+23.69%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1435.99
£1952.65
+£516.66
+35.98%

SAP
£1303.57
£1952.65
+£649.07
+49.79%


Total import savings (Year 7)

£377
47.9%


Return on capital at end of Year 7

+18.7% (excluding import savings)

+22.8% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2017-18 actual output


Predicted output v 2017-18 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2017-18 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2017-18 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2017-18 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2017-18 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2017-18


Daily generation 2017-18
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 7 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2017-18


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2017-18
Generation start time, Year 7 Daily generation start time, Year 7 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 7 Daily generation peak time, Year 7 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 7 Daily generation stop time, Year 7 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 7 Daily generation period, Year 7 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 6 (2016-17) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3201.760
3380.916
+179.156
+5.59%

SAP
2906.520
3380.916
+474.396
+16.32%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1435.99
£1705.06
+£269.07
+18.74%

SAP
£1303.57
£1705.06
+£401.48
+30.8%


Total import savings (Year 6)

£368
46.8%


Return on capital at end of Year 6

+21.4% (excluding import savings)

+25.5% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2016-17 actual output


Predicted output v 2016-17 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2016-17 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2016-17 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2016-17 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2016-17 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2016-17


Daily generation 2016-17
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 6 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2016-17


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2016-17
Generation start time, Year 6 Daily generation start time, Year 6 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 6 Daily generation peak time, Year 6 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 6 Daily generation stop time, Year 6 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 6 Daily generation period, Year 6 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 5 (2015-16) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3206.471
3426.380
+219.909
+6.85%

SAP
2906.520
3426.380
+519.86
+17.89%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1438.10
£1728.14
+£290.04
+20.2%

SAP
£1305.49
£1728.14
+£422.65
+32.4%


Total import savings (Year 5)

£310
39.41%


Return on capital at end of Year 5

+18.1% (excluding import savings)

+22.2% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2015-16 actual output


Predicted output v 2015-16 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2015-16 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2015-16 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2015-16 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2015-16 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2015-16


Daily generation 2015-16
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 5 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2015-16


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2015-16
Generation start time, Year 5 Daily generation start time, Year 5 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 5 Daily generation peak time, Year 5 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 5 Daily generation stop time, Year 5 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 5 Daily generation period, Year 5 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 4 (2014-15) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3201.760
3676.269
+474.509
+14.8%

SAP
2906.520
3676.269
+769.749
+26.5%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1435.99
£1853.86
+£417.87
+22.5%

SAP
£1303.57
£1853.86
+£550.28
+29.7%


Total import savings (Year 4)

£415
52.76%


Return on capital at end of Year 4

+18.3% (excluding import savings)

+22.5% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2014-15 actual output


Predicted output v 2014-15 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2014-15 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2014-15 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2014-15 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2014-15 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2014-15


Daily generation 2014-15
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), Year 4 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2014-15


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2014-15
Generation start time, Year 4 Daily generation start time, Year 4 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 4 Daily generation peak time, Year 4 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, Year 4 Daily generation stop time, Year 4 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, Year 4 Daily generation period, Year 4 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 3 (2013-14) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3201.760
3407.829
+206.069
+6.4%

SAP
2906.520
3407.829
+501.309
+17.2%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1435.99
£1688.09
+£252.11
+14.9%

SAP
£1303.57
£1688.09
+£384.52
+22.8%


Total import savings (year 3)

£393
49.92%


Return on capital at end of year 3

+17.8% (excluding import savings)

+21.0% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2013-14 actual output


Predicted output v 2013-14 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2013-14 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2013-14 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2013-14 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2013-14 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2013-14


Daily generation 2013-14
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), year 3 Predicted rolling average (kWh)

Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2013-14


Daily generation start, peak and stop times, and generation period, 2013-14
Generation start time, year 3 Daily generation start time, year 3 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, year 3 Daily generation peak time, year 3 (time: left hand axis)
Generation stop time, year 3 Daily generation stop time, year 3 (time: left hand axis)
Generation peak time, year 3 Daily generation period, year 3 (hours: right hand axis)
    [All times are GMT]




Year 2 (2012-13) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3201.760
3486.196
+284.436
+8.9%

SAP
2906.520
3486.196
+579.676
+19.9%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1435.99
£1682.46
+£246.47
+17.2%

SAP
£1303.57
£1682.46
+£378.89
+29.1%


Total import savings (year 2)

£389
49.36%


Return on capital at end of year 2

+17.4% (excluding import savings)

+21.6% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2012-13 actual output


Predicted output v 2012-13 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2012-13 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2012-13 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2012-13 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2012-13 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2012-13


Daily generation 2012-13
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), year 3 Predicted rolling average (kWh)




Year 1 (2011-12) Summary


Generation (kWh)

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
3206.470
3293.443
+86.973
+2.7%

SAP
2910.796
3293.443
+382.647
+13.1%


Income

Calculation
Predicted
Actual
Variation
% Variation

PVGIS
£1438.10
£1535.04
+£96.94
+6.7%

SAP
£1305.49
£1535.04
+£229.55
+17.6%


Total import savings (year 1)

£390
49.51%


Return on capital at end of year 1

+16.6% (excluding import savings)

+20.8% (including import savings)

Predicted output v 2011-12 actual output


Predicted output v 2011-12 actual output
Predicted output (kWh) Predicted output (kWh)
Actual output (kWh) Actual output (kWh)

Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2011-12 actual


Predicted Feed in Tariff income v 2011-12 actual
Predicted FiT income Predicted FiT income (£)
Actual FiT income Actual FiT income (£)

Cumulative return on investment 2011-12 (£)


Cumulative return on investment 2011-12 (£)

Daily generation (kWh) 2011-12


Daily generation 2011-12
Actual daily generation (kWh) Actual daily generation (kWh)
Predicted rolling average (kWh), year 3 Predicted rolling average (kWh)


© Frank Jukes 2011-17